Allan Lichtman On 2024 Presidential Election

Allan Lichtman On 2024 Presidential Election. American university professor allan lichtman released his quadrennial prediction for the presidential election thursday via a snappy new york times video that called him the. Presidential historian allan lichtman joins cnn's phil mattingly to explain which party he believes will win the 2024 presidential race.

While campaign events and speeches draw much attention, lichtman argues that the governing of the incumbent party is more predictive of election outcomes. Using his 13 historical factors or “keys” (four political, seven performance, and two personality), lichtman had been predicting trump’s win since september 2016.